ANALISIS DAMPAK PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA

This study aims to determine the effect of government spending (Education, Health, Housing and Public Facilities, and Social Protection), GRDP, DAU, and Population on the Poverty of the Provinces in Indonesia. The method in this study uses the Regression Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) model running with the E-Views version 10 application with 32 provinces. The data used is secondary data with 2010-2020 taken from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK), and local sites from each region. The estimation results show that the variables of poverty itself, education, and PFU significantly impact the poverty of the provinces in Indonesia. While in the long term, the estimation results show that the variables of Education, PFU, DAU, and Population have a significant effect on Poverty. The development of the VECM of this study is to see the description of these variables in the future Variance Decomposition (VD) and Impulse Response Function (IRF) shock effects.